Sweet Orange

Following are some recent Altos Research and Redfin numbers for the South Orange County homes priced over $1,000,000. You can pick out the city of interest to you and see what is happening in that market. You can also do some compare and contrast.

Laguna Beach: approximate % homes on market that are detached–80%

• Altos Research Market Action Index:
  December 13 2009: 13.54
  October 18, 2009: 13.39
  September 20, 2009: 13.69
  July 19, 2009: 11.84
• Altos median list price for detached houses:
  December 13 2009: $2,284,654
  October 18, 2009: $2,281,775
• Redfin median sold price
  November 2009: house--$1210/SF; condo–$307/SF
  September 2009: house–$1646/SF; condo–$374/SF

Coto De Caza: approximate % homes on market that are detached–85%

• Altos Research Market Action Index: n/a
  
• Altos median list price for detached houses: n/a
• Redfin median sold price:
  November 2009: house–$295/SF; condo–$277/SF
  September 2009: n/a

Dana Point: approximate % homes on market that are detached–70%

• Altos Research Market Action Index:
  December 13 2009: 13.85
  October 18, 2009: 14.75
  September 20, 2009: 14.32
  July 19, 2009: 15.68
• Altos median list price:
  December 13 2009: $1,061,681
  October 18, 2009: $1,053,46
• Redfin median sold price:
  November 2009: house–$382/SF; condo–$294/SF
  September 2009: house–$264/SF; condo–$493/SF

San Juan Capistrano: approximate % homes on market that are detached–65%

• Altos Research Market Action Index:
  December 13, 2009: 17.33
  October 18, 2009: 15.03
  September 20, 2009: 13.24
  July 19, 2009: 10.86
• Altos median list price for detached houses:
  December 13, 2009: $930,474
  October 18, 2009: $1,021,748
• Redfin median sold price:
  November 2009: house–$281/SF; condo–$217/SF
  September 2009: house–$289/SF; condo–$124/SF

For a look at what is going on in with housing prices in Costa Mesa, I provided the numbers for the highest- and lowest-priced homes in Costa Mesa as well as the numbers for a Costa Mesa home that is near the median. Here they are:

The highest priced home in Costa Mesa is currently at 369 22nd Street. This home is located in Eastside Costa Mesa (92627) near the Newport Bay. Note that the current listing price is reduced by 15% from the original listing price.

• Asking price: $2,990,000 ($516/SF)
• HOA fee: n/a
• What: detached house built in 2004
• Size: 4 beds/6 baths with 5800 square feet
• Previously sold: February 10, 1996 for $540,000
• Price reductions:
  * listed April 16,2009 for $3,495,000
  * price reduced on July 22, 2009 to #3,295,000
  * price reduced on August 21, 2009 to $2,990,000

The lowest priced home in Costa Mesa is currently at 1654 Iowa Street, Unit B. This short sale is  located in the Mesa Verde neighborhood  (92626). Note that the current listing price is approximately 50% below the previous 2006 selling price.

• Asking price: $209,990 ($234/SF)
• HOA fee: $250/month
• What: condo built in 1971
• Size: 2 beds/1 bath with 897 square feet
• Previously sold: April 21, 2006 for $406,000

An example of a mid-priced Costa Mesa home is at 832 Presidio Drive. This home is located in Central Costa Mesa (92626) near Tewinkle Park, Orange County Fair Grounds, Orange Coast College, South Coast Plaza as well as many freeways. This is a short sale.

• Asking price: $439,000 ($338/SF)
• HOA fee: n/a
• What: detached house built in 1960
• Size: 3 beds/62baths with 1200 square feet (7200 SF lot)
• Previously sold: July 17, 2009 for $439,000 and July 12, 1994 for $184,000

According to Redfin, Irvine’s July housing stats broken down by detached houses and condos categories were as follows. Note that condos play a significant role in Irvine’s housing stock, In July, 59% of the Irvine homes that were on the market were condos.

Home on the market (Inventory)

• Detached house: 487
• Condo: 701

Median price per square foot

• Detached house
  List: $370/SF
  Sold: $322/SF
• Condo
  List: $343/SF
  Sold: $328/SF

Price reductions*:

• Percentage of home with price reductions
  Detached house–36.1%
  Condo–37.1%
• Total percent of the reduction
  Detached house–7.4%
  Condo–6.3%

Days on Redfin*

• Detached house: 62
• Condo: 66

Also note that Redfin’s overall list price in July 2009 was $620,000, and the May 2009 sold price was $570,000. In addition, 239 Irvine homes sold in May 2009.

*Based on homes sold or taken off the market between June 2, 2009 and August 31, 2009

Source: Redfin

Following are some housing market numbers for Irvine. The 92603, 92604 and 92614 ZIPs are particularly interesting.

Note that the 92603 July asking price of $582 per square foot seems particularly unrealistic considering that the July selling price for the 92603 ZIP was $374 per square foot. The 92603 ZIP includes some of the most expensive homes in Irvine, including Irvine’s most expensive neighborhood, Shady Canyon. Other neighborhoods in Irvine’s 92603 include Quail Hill, Turtle Rock, and Turtle Ridge.

You might also want to pay special attention to the Woodbridge ZIPs: 92604 and 92614. As reported in the The Orange County Register, the increase in the percentage of Woodbridge foreclosures are some of the  highest in Orange County, especially in the 92604 ZIP. The 92604 ZIP includes the upper part of the Woodbridge neighborhood as well as the  El Camino neighborhood (See the map.)

According to DataQuick, Irvine’s July 2009 housing numbers by ZIP are as follows: ZIP/Median Selling Price/% change in price from previous month/# of homes sold/% change in number sold from previous month (DQNews).

Tomorrow: Irvine detached and condo stats

Today, we will take a look at how the North Orange County housing market for detached homes is doing as shown by the Altos Market Action Index. The most interesting numbers are for the highest priced market in this area, Yorba Linda, and the lowest price area, Stanton.

According to the Altos index numbers for North Orange County, the Yorba Linda housing market has the least healthy outlook, and Stanton has the healthiest outlook. However, as shown by the index numbers, the housing market in all North Orange County cities is a buyers’ market. This is a repeat of what was happening in May.

Note: The Altos Market Action Index shows the balance between potential buyers and sellers, in other words, the balance between supply and demand. Above 30 is a sellers’ market; below 30 is a buyers’ market. The Altos numbers are for detached houses only (condos are not included). For this reason, I have included numbers that show the percentage of houses in each city that are detached.

Anaheim: Approximate % homes on market that are detached: 73%

• Median list price (August 16,2009): $364,232
• Altos Research Market Action Index:
  August 16: 22.19
  July 5: 23.69

Brea: Approximate % homes on market that are detached: 89%

• Median list price (August 16,2009): $550,327
• Altos Research Market Action Index:
  August 16: 16.57
  July 5: 20.14

Buena Park: Approximate % homes on market that are detached: 85%

• Median list price (August 16,2009): $357,945
• Altos Research Market Action Index:
  August 16: 21.09
  July 5: 23.32

Cypress: Approximate % homes on market that are detached: 67%

• Median list price (August 16,2009): $502,327
• Altos Research Market Action Index:
  August 16: 20.12
  July 5: 25.82

Fullerton: Approximate % homes on market that are detached: 78%

• Median list price (August 16,2009): $545,955
• Altos Research Market Action Index:
  August 16: 18.90
  July 5: 21.41

Garden Grove: Approximate % homes on market that are detached: 78%

• Median list price (August 16,2009): $376,622
• Altos Research Market Action Index:
  August 16: 26.00
  July 5: 27.56

La Habra: Approximate % homes on market that are detached: 69%

• Median list price (August 16,2009): $508,236
• Altos Research Market Action Index:
  August 16: 21.56
  July 5: 21.64

La Palma: Approximate % homes on market that are detached: 81%

• Median list price (August 16,2009): $606,200
• Altos Research Market Action Index:
  August 16: 18.77
  July 5: 18.65

Placentia: Approximate % homes on market that are detached: 75%

• Median list price (August 16,2009): $527,559
• Altos Research Market Action Index:
  August 16: 18.14
  July 5: 20.49

Stanton: Approximate % homes on market that are detached: 66%

• Median list price (August 16,2009): $309,736
• Altos Research Market Action Index:
  August 16: 25.48
  July 5: 23.67

Westminster: Approximate % homes on market that are detached: 87%

• Median list price (August 16,2009): $451,536
• Altos Research Market Action Index:
  August 16: 23.12
  July 5: 27.83

Yorba Linda: Approximate % homes on market that are detached: 79%

• Median list price (August 16,2009): $804,377
• Altos Research Market Action Index:
  August 16: 15.00
  July 5: 17.88

GRAPHS , COURTESY REDFIN, ARE OF WOODBURY’S HOUSING INVENTORY, DETACHED HOME MEDIAN LIST PRICE PER S/F, CONDO MEDIAN LIST PRICE PER S/F

Woodbury is one of Irvine’s newer areas.  According to Redfin, in June, Woodbury had 65  homes on the market (16 detached homes and 49 condos).  The median list price was $590,000 or $342 per square foot.

In April, five homes sold with a median selling price of $550,000. The median number of days on market for a Woodbury home is 58.*

Twenty-one percent of the Woodbury homes that were sold or taken off the market between April 28th and July 27th had price reductions. These homes had a median of one price reduction. The median percentage off the price was 9.3%.

Found below are some additional Redfin stats for Irvine’s Woodbury neighborhood.

Note: Woodbury is near the even newer neighborhood of Woodbury East. Woodbury East’s Ivy neighborhood is the new, small condo area (approximately 1100 SF to 1500 SF) that sold out phase one in under an hour of the July 11 grand opening. For some commentary on the affect that pricing in Woodbury East will have on Woodbury prices, see IrvineRenter’s post “Revaluing Woodbury.”

April 4, 2009

• List price: $639K/$356 per SF
• Sold price: $580K/NA per SF*
• Median days on market: 46*
• Number of homes on the market: 48
  (14 detached/34 condos)

February 28, 2009

• List price: $712,000/$357 per SF
• Sold price: $530K/NA per SF*
• Median days on market: 84*
• Number of homes on the market: 36
  (14 detached/22 condos)

January 31, 2009

• List price: $699,000/$357 per SF
• Sold price: $530K/NA per SF*
• Median days on market: 83*
• Number of homes on the market: 35

December 30, 2008

• List price: $650,000/$357 per SF
• Sold price: $569K/NA per SF*
• Median days on market: 89*
• Number of homes on the market: 27

For more information on housing in Woodbury, see Redfin’s Woodbury map.

*Based on homes sold or taken off the market in the previous 90 days

Source: Redfin

Previously, we took a look at some housing market numbers for North Orange County and Central Orange County. Today, we will take a look at how the South Orange County housing market for detached homes is doing as shown by the Altos Market Action Index. The Altos Market Action Index shows the balance between potential buyers and sellers, in other words, the balance between supply and demand.  Above 30 is a sellers’ market; below 30 is a buyers’ market.

Note that the Altos numbers are for detached homes only (condos are not included). For this reason, I have included numbers that show the percentage of home in each city that are detached. The index numbers listed below are as reported by Altos Research on July 19, 2009.

Note: The brown line in the graphs is the Altos Market Action Index 90-day median; the black line is the Altos Market Action Index 7-day median.

For more numbers associated with each city, click on the city name or Altos Research index number.

Aliso Viejo:

• Altos Research Index– 18.09
• approximate % homes on market that are detached–26%

Coto De Caza:

• Altos Research Index–na
• approximate % homes on market that are detached–87%

Dana Point:

• Altos Research Index– 15.68
• approximate % homes on market that are detached–69%

Ladera Ranch:

• Altos Research Index–16.20
• approximate % homes on market that are detached–69%

Laguna Beach:

• Altos Research Index–11.84
• approximate % homes on market that are detached–82%

Laguna Hills:

• Altos Research Index–13.26
• approximate % homes on market that are detached–48%

Laguna Niguel:

• Altos Research Index–15.23
• approximate % homes on market that are detached–62%

Laguna Woods:

• Altos Research Index–6.07
• approximate % homes on market that are detached–6%

Lake Forest:

• Altos Research Index–17.37
• approximate % homes on market that are detached–61%

Mission Viejo:

• Altos Research Index– 16.23
• approximate % homes on market that are detached–68%

Rancho Santa Margarita:

• Altos Research Index–16.64
• approximate % homes on market that are detached–55%

San Clemente:

• Altos Research Index–12.67
• approximate % homes on market that are detached–76%

San Juan Capistrano:

• Altos Research Index–10.86
• approximate % homes on market that are detached–68%

Yesterday, we took a look at some housing market numbers for North Orange County. Today, we will take a look at how the Central Orange County housing market for detached homes is doing as shown by the Altos Market Action Index. The Altos Market Action Index shows the balance between potential buyers and sellers, in other words, the balance between supply and demand.  Above 30 is a sellers’ market; below 30 is a buyers’ market.

Note that the Altos numbers are for detached homes only (condos are not included). For this reason, I have included numbers that show the percentage of home in each city that are detached. The index numbers listed below are as reported by Altos Research on July 12, 2009. The Altos numbers are updated each week, so if you click on the Altos index numbers for each city, you will see the July 19 numbers (or the most recent index number). In most cases, the July 19 numbers show that  the market has retreated further into a buyers’s market in just this one week.

Also, note that the Altos numbers for Central Orange County show a similar story when it comes to the high-end and low-end of the housing market: Central Orange County cities with the highest-priced homes  have some of  the least favorable market index number (for example, Newport Beach, Villa Park and Los Alamitos). And the Central Orange County cities with lower-priced homes have some of the most favorable market index numbers (for example, Santa Ana). However, as shown by the numbers, the housing market in all of these cities is a buyers’ market.

To see what homes are currently on the market as well as what homes have sold recently, click on the city name.

Note: The brown line in the graphs is the Altos Market Action Index 90-day median; the black line is the Altos Market Action Index 7-day median.

Costa Mesa:

• Altos Research Index–21.13
• approximate % homes on market that are detached–72%

Fountain Valley:

• Altos Research Index–26.05
• approximate % homes on market that are detached–81%

Huntington Beach:

• Altos Research Index–~14.50
• approximate % homes on market that are detached–69%

Irvine:

• Altos Research Index–18.31
• approximate % homes on market that are detached–43%

Los Alamitos:

• Altos Research Index–11.90
• approximate % homes on market that are detached–77%

Newport Beach:

• Altos Research Index–11.42
• approximate % homes on market that are detached–67%

Orange:

• Altos Research Index–19.26
• approximate % homes on market that are detached–86%

Santa Ana:

• Altos Research Index–21.75
• approximate % homes on market that are detached–64%

Seal Beach: 

• Altos Research Index–12.91
• approximate % homes on market that are detached–26%

Tustin:

• Altos Research Index–19.09
• approximate % homes on market that are detached–51%

Villa Park:

• Altos Research Index–8.43
• approximate % homes on market that are detached–100%

According to Redfin, in May, Shady Canyon, Irvine’s most expensive area, had 55 detached homes on the market.  The median list price was $4,700,000 or $740 per square foot.

Only one home sold in March; the sales price was $4,500,000. The median number of days it currently takes to sell a Shady Canyon home is 249.*

Seventy-two percent of the Shady Canyon homes that were sold or taken off the market between March 25th and June 23rd had price reductions. These homes had a median of two price reductions. The median percentage off the price was 16.9%.

Here are some additional Redfin stats for Shady Canyon:

April 3, 2009

• Median list price: $4,972K/$742 per SF
• Median sold price: $4,325K/NA per SF*
• Median days on market: 110*
• Number of homes on the market: 58

February 28, 2009

• Median  list price: $5,,000,000/$762 per SF
• Median sold price: $3,750K/NA per SF*
• Median days on market: 156*
• Number of homes on the market: 55

January 31, 2009

• Median  list price: $5,695K/$770 per SF
• Median  sold price: $4,914K/NA per SF*
• Median days on market: 154*
• Number of homes on the market: 39

December 30, 2008

• Median list price: $5,495K/$764 per SF
• Median sold price: $2,912K/NA per SF*
• Median days on market: 172*
• Number of homes on the market: 38

If you would like more information on housing in this area, see the Redfin Shady Canyon Real Estate page.

*Based on homes sold or taken off the market in the previous 90 days

GRAPH OF SHADY CANYON MEDIAN LIST PRICE COURTESY REDFIN

Related post: Housing Prices Declining in Shady Canyon, Irvine’s Most Expensive Neighborhood

Following are some Irvine housing number from Trulia. These numbers are for all Irvine homes (detached and condos). To see previous Redfin numbers for the Irvine housing market, see my past posts “The Irvine Detached Home Report” and “The Irvine Condo Report.” To see what the Altos Research Market Action Index, which covers detached home only, says about the Irvine housing market, see “The Irvine Housing Index Says….”

Based on 338 homes sold from March to May 2009 (down 37.3% from the same period one year ago), the Irvine median selling price was as follows:

Median Sold Price: $550,000

• up 2.8% from the previous quarter
• down 5.9% from the same period of the previous year
• down 5.2% when compared to the same period of 5 years ago

A comparison of the sold price to the list price, shows that the two numbers are not in the same ballpark: The average listing price for week ending June 3, 2009 was $962,442 ($330/SF). However, I should note that Trulia’s sold price is the median, and Trulia’s list price is the average.

The number of Irvine homes currently on the market according to Trulia breaks down as follows:

• number of homes on the market: 1854
• number of these homes  that are in distress*: 791
• 43% of Irvine homes on the market are in distress
  

Source: Trulia

*Distressed homes are defined as those that are in pre-foreclosure, trustee auction. or bank-owned stage of the foreclosure process.